| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
15,139 |
0.855 |
$12,943.79 |
$65.98 |
+0.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
13,613 |
0.685 |
$9,324.86 |
$2,759.71 |
+42.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
19,643 |
0.470 |
$9,232.39 |
$2,202.75 |
+31.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8,696 |
0.920 |
$8,000.42 |
$153.18 |
+2.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
9,312 |
0.780 |
$7,263.43 |
$767.38 |
+11.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
5,000 |
0.895 |
$4,474.99 |
$-175.00 |
-3.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,434 |
0.957 |
$4,241.49 |
$215.84 |
+5.4% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,841 |
0.723 |
$2,774.90 |
$-636.73 |
-18.7% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
3,824 |
0.625 |
$2,390.05 |
$-1,151.67 |
-32.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
1,995 |
0.885 |
$1,765.60 |
$593.93 |
+50.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
1,545 |
1.000 |
$1,544.18 |
$45.58 |
+3.0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
1,735 |
0.850 |
$1,474.81 |
$35.82 |
+2.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
1,515 |
0.705 |
$1,067.92 |
$47.57 |
+4.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
910 |
0.875 |
$796.25 |
$364.00 |
+84.2% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
5,957 |
0.095 |
$565.91 |
$-1,133.21 |
-66.7% |
| Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
587 |
0.725 |
$425.93 |
$-72.86 |
-14.6% |
| Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? |
No |
389 |
0.972 |
$378.13 |
$253.01 |
+202.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
3,334 |
0.100 |
$333.35 |
$-1,249.82 |
-78.9% |
| Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
387 |
0.440 |
$170.28 |
$27.44 |
+19.2% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
177 |
0.957 |
$169.40 |
$10.01 |
+6.3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
2,555 |
0.060 |
$153.30 |
$-127.75 |
-45.5% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
335 |
0.455 |
$152.29 |
$15.51 |
+11.3% |
| Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
358 |
0.365 |
$130.57 |
$-8.23 |
-5.9% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
1,261 |
0.073 |
$92.69 |
$-130.95 |
-58.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
93 |
0.940 |
$87.79 |
$4.67 |
+5.6% |