| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
15,139 |
0.870 |
$13,170.87 |
$293.06 |
+2.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
13,613 |
0.680 |
$9,256.80 |
$2,691.64 |
+41.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
19,643 |
0.460 |
$9,026.14 |
$1,996.49 |
+28.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8,696 |
0.920 |
$8,000.42 |
$153.18 |
+2.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
9,312 |
0.770 |
$7,170.31 |
$674.26 |
+10.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
5,000 |
0.910 |
$4,549.99 |
$-100.00 |
-2.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,434 |
0.952 |
$4,219.32 |
$193.66 |
+4.8% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,841 |
0.724 |
$2,778.74 |
$-632.89 |
-18.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
3,824 |
0.625 |
$2,390.05 |
$-1,151.67 |
-32.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
1,995 |
0.890 |
$1,775.57 |
$603.90 |
+51.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
1,545 |
1.000 |
$1,544.18 |
$45.58 |
+3.0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
1,735 |
0.845 |
$1,466.13 |
$27.15 |
+1.9% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
1,515 |
0.715 |
$1,083.07 |
$62.72 |
+6.1% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
910 |
0.885 |
$805.35 |
$373.10 |
+86.3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
5,957 |
0.095 |
$565.91 |
$-1,133.21 |
-66.7% |
| Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
587 |
0.700 |
$411.24 |
$-87.55 |
-17.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
3,334 |
0.115 |
$383.36 |
$-1,199.82 |
-75.8% |
| Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? |
No |
389 |
0.969 |
$377.15 |
$252.04 |
+201.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
2,555 |
0.070 |
$178.85 |
$-102.20 |
-36.4% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
177 |
0.957 |
$169.40 |
$10.01 |
+6.3% |
| Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
387 |
0.435 |
$168.34 |
$25.51 |
+17.9% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
335 |
0.455 |
$152.29 |
$15.51 |
+11.3% |
| Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
358 |
0.350 |
$125.21 |
$-13.59 |
-9.8% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
1,261 |
0.074 |
$93.95 |
$-129.69 |
-58.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
93 |
0.930 |
$86.85 |
$3.74 |
+4.5% |