| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
264,790 |
0.973 |
$257,640.55 |
$1,888.48 |
+0.7% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
300,000 |
0.790 |
$237,150.00 |
$87,150.00 |
+58.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
73,261 |
0.962 |
$70,476.76 |
$455.97 |
+0.7% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
300,000 |
0.209 |
$62,850.00 |
$-87,149.70 |
-58.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
63,900 |
0.825 |
$52,717.77 |
$-4,021.18 |
-7.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
66,024 |
0.695 |
$45,880.01 |
$-7,174.42 |
-13.5% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
No |
35,299 |
0.760 |
$26,827.22 |
$7,662.77 |
+40.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
21,650 |
0.987 |
$21,369.02 |
$797.04 |
+3.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
22,788 |
0.875 |
$19,939.16 |
$154.14 |
+0.8% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
24,725 |
0.795 |
$19,656.17 |
$2,112.21 |
+12.0% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? |
No |
19,020 |
0.875 |
$16,642.35 |
$2,101.50 |
+14.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
39,354 |
0.380 |
$14,954.34 |
$-2,433.15 |
-14.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
22,183 |
0.655 |
$14,529.79 |
$-708.70 |
-4.7% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? |
No |
15,044 |
0.701 |
$10,545.94 |
$-1,400.08 |
-11.7% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
10,000 |
0.984 |
$9,840.01 |
$218.85 |
+2.3% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
25,081 |
0.375 |
$9,405.21 |
$790.11 |
+9.2% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
No |
14,241 |
0.645 |
$9,185.46 |
$-717.96 |
-7.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
11,378 |
0.795 |
$9,045.88 |
$-176.15 |
-1.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
No |
12,250 |
0.725 |
$8,881.42 |
$-784.11 |
-8.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
8,814 |
0.976 |
$8,597.97 |
$10.68 |
+0.1% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? |
No |
12,700 |
0.645 |
$8,191.37 |
$-1,923.04 |
-19.0% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? |
No |
9,202 |
0.880 |
$8,097.74 |
$748.04 |
+10.2% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? |
Yes |
9,090 |
0.875 |
$7,953.66 |
$938.92 |
+13.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
7,164 |
1.000 |
$7,160.60 |
$173.07 |
+2.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
7,890 |
0.870 |
$6,863.99 |
$1,843.09 |
+36.7% |