| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
400,000 |
0.785 |
$314,200.00 |
$114,200.00 |
+57.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
204,303 |
0.980 |
$200,115.20 |
$2,785.06 |
+1.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
400,000 |
0.214 |
$85,800.00 |
$-114,199.60 |
-57.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
73,261 |
0.970 |
$71,026.22 |
$1,005.43 |
+1.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
67,900 |
0.825 |
$56,017.77 |
$-4,061.12 |
-6.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
67,499 |
0.685 |
$46,236.97 |
$-7,573.95 |
-14.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
38,814 |
0.985 |
$38,212.30 |
$375.06 |
+1.0% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
No |
35,299 |
0.760 |
$26,827.22 |
$7,662.77 |
+40.0% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
24,725 |
0.795 |
$19,656.17 |
$2,112.21 |
+12.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
43,354 |
0.385 |
$16,691.11 |
$-2,196.33 |
-11.6% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? |
No |
19,020 |
0.875 |
$16,642.35 |
$2,101.50 |
+14.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
22,183 |
0.665 |
$14,751.62 |
$-486.87 |
-3.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
14,702 |
0.885 |
$13,011.52 |
$246.47 |
+1.9% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? |
No |
15,044 |
0.697 |
$10,484.26 |
$-1,461.76 |
-12.2% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
10,000 |
0.986 |
$9,855.01 |
$233.85 |
+2.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
9,402 |
0.995 |
$9,354.81 |
$421.33 |
+4.7% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
No |
14,241 |
0.645 |
$9,185.46 |
$-717.96 |
-7.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
No |
12,250 |
0.740 |
$9,065.18 |
$-600.36 |
-6.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
11,378 |
0.795 |
$9,045.88 |
$-176.15 |
-1.9% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? |
No |
12,700 |
0.655 |
$8,318.36 |
$-1,796.04 |
-17.8% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? |
No |
9,202 |
0.885 |
$8,143.75 |
$794.05 |
+10.8% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? |
Yes |
9,090 |
0.875 |
$7,953.66 |
$938.92 |
+13.4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
20,081 |
0.375 |
$7,530.21 |
$632.60 |
+9.2% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? |
Yes |
17,587 |
0.385 |
$6,771.05 |
$-975.52 |
-12.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
7,687 |
0.880 |
$6,764.89 |
$1,872.71 |
+38.3% |