| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
293,263 |
0.968 |
$283,879.02 |
$625.24 |
+0.2% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
300,000 |
0.790 |
$237,150.00 |
$87,150.00 |
+58.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
73,261 |
0.959 |
$70,256.98 |
$236.19 |
+0.3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
300,000 |
0.209 |
$62,850.00 |
$-87,149.70 |
-58.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
66,024 |
0.695 |
$45,880.01 |
$-7,174.42 |
-13.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
53,900 |
0.835 |
$45,006.77 |
$-3,632.24 |
-7.5% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
No |
35,299 |
0.760 |
$26,827.22 |
$7,662.77 |
+40.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
21,650 |
0.988 |
$21,390.67 |
$818.69 |
+4.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
23,246 |
0.855 |
$19,875.47 |
$-307.69 |
-1.5% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
24,725 |
0.795 |
$19,656.17 |
$2,112.21 |
+12.0% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? |
No |
19,020 |
0.875 |
$16,642.35 |
$2,101.50 |
+14.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
39,354 |
0.375 |
$14,757.58 |
$-2,629.92 |
-15.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
22,183 |
0.635 |
$14,086.13 |
$-1,152.36 |
-7.6% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? |
No |
15,044 |
0.694 |
$10,433.11 |
$-1,512.91 |
-12.7% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
10,000 |
0.984 |
$9,840.01 |
$218.85 |
+2.3% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
25,081 |
0.375 |
$9,405.21 |
$790.11 |
+9.2% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
No |
14,241 |
0.645 |
$9,185.46 |
$-717.96 |
-7.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
8,814 |
0.976 |
$8,602.38 |
$15.09 |
+0.2% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? |
No |
12,700 |
0.645 |
$8,191.37 |
$-1,923.04 |
-19.0% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? |
No |
9,202 |
0.880 |
$8,097.74 |
$748.04 |
+10.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
11,378 |
0.710 |
$8,078.71 |
$-1,143.32 |
-12.4% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? |
Yes |
9,090 |
0.875 |
$7,953.66 |
$938.92 |
+13.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
No |
9,750 |
0.785 |
$7,653.94 |
$-121.62 |
-1.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
7,164 |
1.000 |
$7,160.60 |
$173.07 |
+2.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
7,890 |
0.855 |
$6,745.65 |
$1,724.74 |
+34.4% |