| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
150 |
0.989 |
$148.34 |
$134.70 |
+987.9% |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? |
Yes |
143 |
0.931 |
$132.97 |
$126.77 |
+2042.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
256 |
0.485 |
$124.13 |
$-7.14 |
-5.4% |
| Will Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series? |
No |
126 |
0.967 |
$121.86 |
$16.00 |
+15.1% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
129 |
0.835 |
$107.53 |
$102.16 |
+1904.0% |
| Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
103 |
0.999 |
$102.66 |
$-0.05 |
-0.0% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
352 |
0.269 |
$94.62 |
$76.11 |
+411.1% |
| Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
84 |
0.999 |
$83.91 |
$-0.04 |
-0.0% |
| Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
84 |
0.999 |
$83.91 |
$-0.04 |
-0.0% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
96 |
0.870 |
$83.22 |
$59.31 |
+248.0% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? |
Yes |
97 |
0.825 |
$79.92 |
$77.22 |
+2870.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
115 |
0.615 |
$70.58 |
$66.48 |
+1622.0% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
134 |
0.510 |
$68.11 |
$53.27 |
+359.0% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? |
Yes |
100 |
0.660 |
$66.00 |
$56.91 |
+626.0% |
| Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
66 |
0.999 |
$66.00 |
$-0.03 |
-0.0% |
| Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? |
Yes |
150 |
0.431 |
$64.65 |
$55.83 |
+632.7% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
73 |
0.885 |
$64.30 |
$57.03 |
+785.0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? |
Yes |
150 |
0.415 |
$62.25 |
$50.71 |
+439.5% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
Yes |
92 |
0.665 |
$61.18 |
$58.82 |
+2493.5% |
| Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? |
Yes |
100 |
0.610 |
$61.00 |
$58.37 |
+2218.1% |
| Will Troyes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? |
No |
60 |
0.997 |
$59.56 |
$-0.15 |
-0.2% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
52 |
0.983 |
$50.72 |
$40.39 |
+391.2% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
51 |
0.991 |
$50.49 |
$-0.02 |
-0.0% |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.998 |
$50.26 |
$-0.02 |
-0.0% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
50 |
0.996 |
$50.16 |
$-0.07 |
-0.1% |