| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
150 |
0.996 |
$149.32 |
$135.68 |
+995.1% |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? |
Yes |
143 |
0.933 |
$133.26 |
$127.05 |
+2047.1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
260 |
0.475 |
$123.49 |
$-5.70 |
-4.4% |
| Will Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series? |
No |
126 |
0.968 |
$121.99 |
$16.13 |
+15.2% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
129 |
0.850 |
$109.46 |
$104.09 |
+1940.0% |
| Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
103 |
0.999 |
$102.66 |
$-0.05 |
-0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? |
Yes |
92 |
0.998 |
$91.82 |
$83.45 |
+997.8% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
96 |
0.905 |
$86.57 |
$62.66 |
+262.0% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
352 |
0.237 |
$83.54 |
$65.03 |
+351.3% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? |
Yes |
97 |
0.825 |
$79.92 |
$77.22 |
+2870.1% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? |
Yes |
100 |
0.740 |
$74.00 |
$64.91 |
+714.0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
115 |
0.640 |
$73.45 |
$69.35 |
+1692.0% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
134 |
0.510 |
$68.11 |
$53.27 |
+359.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
67 |
1.000 |
$66.90 |
$60.20 |
+899.5% |
| Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
66 |
0.999 |
$66.00 |
$-0.03 |
-0.0% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
73 |
0.885 |
$64.30 |
$57.03 |
+785.0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? |
Yes |
150 |
0.420 |
$63.00 |
$51.46 |
+446.0% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
Yes |
92 |
0.670 |
$61.64 |
$59.28 |
+2513.0% |
| Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? |
Yes |
150 |
0.383 |
$57.45 |
$48.63 |
+551.1% |
| Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? |
Yes |
99 |
0.560 |
$55.23 |
$52.63 |
+2028.1% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
52 |
0.983 |
$50.72 |
$40.39 |
+391.2% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
51 |
0.988 |
$50.45 |
$-0.04 |
-0.1% |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.998 |
$50.27 |
$-0.02 |
-0.0% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
50 |
0.996 |
$50.13 |
$-0.10 |
-0.2% |
| Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
50 |
0.999 |
$50.06 |
$-0.03 |
-0.1% |