| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
150 |
0.991 |
$148.64 |
$135.00 |
+990.1% |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? |
Yes |
143 |
0.932 |
$133.05 |
$126.84 |
+2043.6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
256 |
0.485 |
$124.13 |
$-7.14 |
-5.4% |
| Will Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series? |
No |
126 |
0.975 |
$122.81 |
$16.95 |
+16.0% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
129 |
0.835 |
$107.53 |
$102.16 |
+1904.0% |
| Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
103 |
0.999 |
$102.66 |
$-0.05 |
-0.0% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
352 |
0.277 |
$97.43 |
$78.92 |
+426.3% |
| Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
84 |
0.999 |
$83.91 |
$-0.04 |
-0.0% |
| Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
84 |
0.999 |
$83.91 |
$-0.04 |
-0.0% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
96 |
0.870 |
$83.22 |
$59.31 |
+248.0% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? |
Yes |
97 |
0.825 |
$79.92 |
$77.22 |
+2870.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
115 |
0.615 |
$70.58 |
$66.48 |
+1622.0% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
134 |
0.510 |
$68.11 |
$53.27 |
+359.0% |
| Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? |
Yes |
150 |
0.443 |
$66.45 |
$57.63 |
+653.1% |
| Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
66 |
0.999 |
$66.00 |
$-0.03 |
-0.0% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
73 |
0.885 |
$64.30 |
$57.03 |
+785.0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? |
Yes |
150 |
0.415 |
$62.25 |
$50.71 |
+439.5% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
Yes |
92 |
0.660 |
$60.72 |
$58.36 |
+2474.0% |
| Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? |
Yes |
100 |
0.605 |
$60.50 |
$57.87 |
+2199.1% |
| Will Troyes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? |
No |
60 |
0.995 |
$59.44 |
$-0.27 |
-0.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? |
Yes |
100 |
0.590 |
$59.00 |
$49.91 |
+549.0% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? |
Yes |
100 |
0.555 |
$55.50 |
$46.41 |
+510.5% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
51 |
0.991 |
$50.49 |
$-0.02 |
-0.0% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
52 |
0.977 |
$50.43 |
$40.11 |
+388.5% |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.998 |
$50.26 |
$-0.02 |
-0.0% |