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Trader leaderboard/b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.

b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.

0xb41ead279375742d6c2a1a2239bdce56376411fd
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$90
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$683
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
634W / 638L · 3,045 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
2,988W / 1,294L · 35 open
Trades (30d)
4,317
across 827 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$0.46
avg win $4 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.80
$355 won / $445 lost
Reward / Risk
0.99
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$39
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $108,540 · all-time $2,298,093

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 59.2% 10,841W/7,470L 4948 $54,142
🏛 Politics 58.7% 152W/107L 328 $2,503
💵 Economy 49.7% 231W/234L 298 $3,077
⚽ Sports 52.3% 306W/279L 272 $3,140
₿ Crypto 50.8% 215W/208L 245 $2,437
🎬 Culture 48.7% 112W/118L 116 $1,351
🤖 Tech 48.0% 12W/13L 60 $498
🔬 Science 50.0% 2W/2L 17 $83
🌤 Weather 100.0% 2W/0L 8 $43

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Joey Bosa play for Detroit Lions in 2026-27? Yes 118 0.350 $41.23 $38.72 +1540.8%
Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 120 0.297 $35.64 $30.32 +569.9%
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026? No 57 0.622 $35.56 $3.96 +12.5%
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? No 51 0.605 $30.83 $4.56 +17.4%
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? No 40 0.735 $29.40 $7.40 +33.6%
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 80 0.360 $28.84 $19.16 +197.9%
Will LAB reach $24 before 2027? Yes 115 0.250 $28.66 $17.20 +150.0%
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? No 40 0.680 $27.20 $6.80 +33.3%
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 40 0.660 $26.40 $3.20 +13.8%
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition No 40 0.650 $26.00 $7.60 +41.3%
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? Yes 60 0.390 $23.38 $3.80 +19.4%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers NC Dinos 108 0.215 $23.14 $11.16 +93.2%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? No 87 0.265 $23.05 $9.22 +66.7%
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? Yes 120 0.190 $22.80 $10.40 +83.9%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 40 0.555 $22.20 $2.20 +11.0%
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? No 40 0.555 $22.20 $0.60 +2.8%
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August? Yes 40 0.555 $22.20 $3.40 +18.1%
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 47 0.470 $21.88 $6.05 +38.2%
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.545 $21.80 $-1.40 -6.0%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of August 3 2026? No 85 0.255 $21.75 $7.83 +56.3%
Will Karmine Corp Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? Yes 53 0.410 $21.72 $19.07 +720.0%
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.540 $21.60 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Tori launch a token by September 30, 2027? No 40 0.540 $21.60 $3.20 +17.4%
Will VARREL Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? Yes 80 0.262 $20.96 $5.24 +33.3%
Love Wins: 2026 Edition Yes 40 0.510 $20.40 $3.60 +21.4%