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Trader leaderboard/b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.

b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.

0xb41ead279375742d6c2a1a2239bdce56376411fd
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$151
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
884W / 604L · 1,168 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
1,734W / 898L · 24 open
Trades (30d)
2,656
across 542 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$0.02
avg win $5 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.99
$443 won / $447 lost
Reward / Risk
1.34
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$66
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $109,233 · all-time $2,299,230

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 59.2% 10,841W/7,470L 4948 $54,142
🏛 Politics 58.7% 152W/107L 328 $2,503
💵 Economy 49.7% 231W/234L 298 $3,077
⚽ Sports 52.3% 306W/279L 272 $3,140
₿ Crypto 50.8% 215W/208L 245 $2,437
🎬 Culture 48.7% 112W/118L 116 $1,351
🤖 Tech 48.0% 12W/13L 60 $498
🔬 Science 50.0% 2W/2L 17 $83
🌤 Weather 100.0% 2W/0L 8 $43

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Joey Bosa play for Detroit Lions in 2026-27? Yes 118 0.351 $41.35 $38.84 +1545.5%
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026? No 57 0.624 $35.68 $4.07 +12.9%
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? No 51 0.605 $30.83 $4.56 +17.4%
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? No 40 0.735 $29.40 $7.40 +33.6%
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 80 0.355 $28.44 $18.76 +193.8%
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? No 40 0.665 $26.60 $6.20 +30.4%
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 40 0.660 $26.40 $3.20 +13.8%
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition No 40 0.640 $25.60 $7.20 +39.1%
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? Yes 60 0.390 $23.38 $3.80 +19.4%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers NC Dinos 108 0.215 $23.14 $11.16 +93.2%
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 47 0.490 $22.81 $6.98 +44.1%
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August? Yes 40 0.560 $22.40 $3.60 +19.1%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 40 0.555 $22.20 $2.20 +11.0%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? No 87 0.250 $21.75 $7.92 +57.3%
Will Karmine Corp Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? Yes 53 0.410 $21.72 $19.07 +720.0%
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.540 $21.60 $0.00 +0.0%
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.540 $21.60 $-1.60 -6.9%
Will Tori launch a token by September 30, 2027? No 40 0.540 $21.60 $3.20 +17.4%
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? No 40 0.530 $21.20 $-0.40 -1.9%
Will VARREL Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? Yes 80 0.262 $20.96 $5.24 +33.3%
City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 42 0.495 $20.81 $10.77 +107.3%
Love Wins: 2026 Edition Yes 40 0.510 $20.40 $3.60 +21.4%
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? No 32 0.630 $20.29 $4.19 +26.0%
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 90 0.224 $20.21 $12.18 +151.7%
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? No 40 0.505 $20.20 $-1.40 -6.5%