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Trader leaderboard/b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.

b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.

0xb41ead279375742d6c2a1a2239bdce56376411fd
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$29
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$264
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
673W / 696L · 623 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
1,098W / 887L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
1,992
across 378 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$0.14
avg win $5 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.94
$487 won / $516 lost
Reward / Risk
1.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$44
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $107,404 · all-time $2,298,093

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 59.2% 10,841W/7,470L 4948 $54,142
🏛 Politics 60.6% 188W/122L 349 $2,678
💵 Economy 46.6% 245W/281L 321 $3,242
⚽ Sports 53.7% 345W/297L 291 $3,501
₿ Crypto 50.3% 242W/239L 263 $2,562
🎬 Culture 49.3% 151W/155L 133 $1,483
🤖 Tech 38.7% 12W/19L 64 $521
🔬 Science 50.0% 2W/2L 18 $88
🌤 Weather 100.0% 2W/0L 10 $51

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Joey Bosa play for Detroit Lions in 2026-27? Yes 118 0.348 $41.05 $38.53 +1533.3%
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026? No 57 0.622 $35.56 $3.96 +12.5%
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? No 51 0.610 $31.08 $4.82 +18.3%
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? No 40 0.730 $29.20 $7.20 +32.7%
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 80 0.361 $28.92 $19.24 +198.8%
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 40 0.665 $26.60 $3.40 +14.7%
Will LAB reach $24 before 2027? Yes 115 0.225 $25.80 $14.33 +125.0%
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition No 40 0.630 $25.20 $6.80 +37.0%
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? No 40 0.590 $23.60 $3.20 +15.7%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers NC Dinos 108 0.215 $23.14 $11.16 +93.2%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 40 0.555 $22.20 $2.20 +11.0%
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? No 40 0.555 $22.20 $0.60 +2.8%
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? Yes 60 0.370 $22.19 $2.60 +13.3%
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings? No 80 0.275 $22.00 $6.80 +44.7%
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August? Yes 40 0.550 $22.00 $3.20 +17.0%
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 47 0.470 $21.88 $6.05 +38.2%
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.545 $21.80 $-1.40 -6.0%
Will Karmine Corp Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? Yes 53 0.410 $21.72 $19.07 +720.0%
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.540 $21.60 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Tori launch a token by September 30, 2027? No 40 0.540 $21.60 $3.20 +17.4%
Will VARREL Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? Yes 80 0.262 $20.96 $5.24 +33.3%
Love Wins: 2026 Edition Yes 40 0.510 $20.40 $3.60 +21.4%
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? No 32 0.630 $20.29 $4.19 +26.0%
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? No 40 0.500 $20.00 $-1.60 -7.4%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of August 3 2026? No 40 0.490 $19.60 $1.20 +6.5%