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Trader leaderboard/b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.

b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.

0xb41ead279375742d6c2a1a2239bdce56376411fd
PnL (30d)
+$165
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2,951
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
10,841W / 7,466L · 11,052 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
19,107W / 10,083L · 169 open
Trades (30d)
29,359
across 4,948 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$0.06
avg win $6 · loss $4
Profit Factor
1.02
$7,056 won / $6,892 lost
Reward / Risk
1.52
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$637
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $106,942 · all-time $2,297,631

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 59.2% 10,841W/7,466L 4948 $54,142
🏛 Politics 60.6% 188W/122L 349 $2,678
💵 Economy 46.6% 245W/281L 321 $3,242
⚽ Sports 53.7% 345W/297L 291 $3,501
₿ Crypto 50.3% 242W/239L 263 $2,562
🎬 Culture 49.3% 151W/155L 133 $1,483
🤖 Tech 38.7% 12W/19L 64 $521
🔬 Science 50.0% 2W/2L 18 $88
🌤 Weather 100.0% 2W/0L 10 $51

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Joey Bosa play for Detroit Lions in 2026-27? Yes 118 0.409 $48.17 $45.66 +1816.9%
Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 120 0.321 $38.52 $33.20 +624.1%
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026? No 57 0.623 $35.65 $4.05 +12.8%
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? No 51 0.610 $31.08 $4.82 +18.3%
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? No 40 0.720 $28.80 $6.80 +30.9%
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 80 0.352 $28.16 $18.48 +190.9%
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 40 0.675 $27.00 $3.80 +16.4%
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? No 40 0.660 $26.40 $6.00 +29.4%
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition No 40 0.645 $25.80 $7.40 +40.2%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers NC Dinos 108 0.215 $23.14 $11.16 +93.2%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 40 0.560 $22.40 $2.40 +12.0%
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August? Yes 40 0.560 $22.40 $3.60 +19.1%
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? No 40 0.555 $22.20 $0.60 +2.8%
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? Yes 60 0.370 $22.19 $2.60 +13.3%
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 47 0.475 $22.11 $6.28 +39.7%
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings? No 80 0.275 $22.00 $6.80 +44.7%
Will Karmine Corp Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? Yes 53 0.410 $21.72 $19.07 +720.0%
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.540 $21.60 $0.00 +0.0%
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.540 $21.60 $-1.60 -6.9%
Will Tori launch a token by September 30, 2027? No 40 0.540 $21.60 $3.20 +17.4%
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No 38 0.565 $21.47 $3.61 +20.2%
Love Wins: 2026 Edition Yes 40 0.530 $21.20 $4.40 +26.2%
Will VARREL Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? Yes 80 0.262 $20.96 $5.24 +33.3%
Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026? No 60 0.346 $20.78 $8.51 +69.4%
City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 42 0.485 $20.39 $10.35 +103.1%