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Trader leaderboard/Poligarch

Poligarch

0xb40e89677d59665d5188541ad860450a6e2a7cc9
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$53
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$33
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
281W / 31L · 116 open
Win Return (30d)
93%
397W / 31L
Trades (30d)
428
across 6 markets · ~71 per market
EV / position
+$10.52
avg win $15 · loss $8
Profit Factor
7.79
$60 won / $8 lost
Reward / Risk
1.95
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$21
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $401,949 · all-time $26,305,109

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.1% 82,502W/75,727L 6792 $983,497
🌤 Weather 54.1% 5,421W/4,603L 712 $61,935
🏛 Politics 61.0% 774W/494L 26 $37,544
🎬 Culture 84.4% 755W/140L 20 $18,957
🤖 Tech 27.9% 24W/62L 4 $1,130
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/32L 3 $227
₿ Crypto 1 $24

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

76 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 787 0.993 $781.31 $179.12 +29.7%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 260 0.954 $247.98 $19.30 +8.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? Yes 188 1.000 $187.60 $155.37 +482.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5? No 165 1.000 $165.08 $52.69 +46.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5? No 152 1.000 $151.65 $31.64 +26.4%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 5? No 123 1.000 $122.93 $15.69 +14.6%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? Yes 123 1.000 $122.54 $68.93 +128.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 118 1.000 $118.13 $58.58 +98.4%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? No 126 0.865 $109.16 $28.23 +34.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? Yes 107 0.998 $107.28 $77.67 +262.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? Yes 106 1.000 $105.82 $36.02 +51.6%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 5? No 106 1.000 $105.67 $32.35 +44.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 100 1.000 $100.03 $43.81 +77.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $4.38 +4.6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $10.84 +12.2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $6.21 +6.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $4.32 +4.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $12.65 +14.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $2.77 +2.8%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.94 $9.10 +10.0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.94 $6.11 +6.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.94 $5.41 +5.7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.94 $3.84 +4.0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 5? No 100 0.996 $99.59 $5.60 +6.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 5? No 99 1.000 $99.15 $4.71 +5.0%