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Trader leaderboard/Poligarch

Poligarch

0xb40e89677d59665d5188541ad860450a6e2a7cc9
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$586
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+1.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
71%
1,176W / 482L · 99 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
1,176W / 482L · 99 open
Trades (30d)
1,757
across 61 markets · ~29 per market
EV / position
+$9.92
avg win $41 · loss $35
Profit Factor
1.69
$1,431 won / $846 lost
Reward / Risk
1.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$88
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $404,643 · all-time $26,307,803

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.2% 82,550W/75,742L 6793 $983,501
🌤 Weather 54.0% 5,421W/4,618L 712 $61,935
🏛 Politics 61.0% 774W/494L 26 $37,544
🎬 Culture 84.4% 755W/140L 20 $18,957
🤖 Tech 27.9% 24W/62L 4 $1,130
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/32L 3 $227
₿ Crypto 1 $24

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

82 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 787 0.996 $783.28 $181.09 +30.1%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 260 0.980 $254.60 $25.93 +11.3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? Yes 329 0.670 $220.17 $69.27 +45.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? Yes 188 1.000 $187.60 $155.37 +482.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5? No 165 1.000 $165.08 $52.69 +46.9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? Yes 165 0.965 $159.26 $58.49 +58.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5? No 152 1.000 $151.65 $31.64 +26.4%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? No 184 0.775 $142.70 $18.33 +14.7%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? Yes 154 0.850 $130.51 $43.67 +50.3%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? No 147 0.880 $129.78 $31.37 +31.9%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 5? No 123 1.000 $122.93 $15.69 +14.6%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? Yes 123 1.000 $122.54 $68.93 +128.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 118 1.000 $118.13 $58.58 +98.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? Yes 107 1.000 $107.44 $77.83 +262.9%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? Yes 106 1.000 $105.82 $36.02 +51.6%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 5? No 106 1.000 $105.67 $32.35 +44.1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5? No 103 1.000 $102.88 $16.72 +19.4%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5? Yes 113 0.890 $100.57 $53.98 +115.9%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? No 303 0.330 $100.04 $-91.60 -47.8%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 100 1.000 $100.03 $43.81 +77.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $4.38 +4.6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $10.84 +12.2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $6.21 +6.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $4.32 +4.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $12.65 +14.5%