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Trader leaderboard/Poligarch

Poligarch

0xb40e89677d59665d5188541ad860450a6e2a7cc9
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$656
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
1,765W / 957L · 56 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
1,801W / 957L · 20 open
Trades (30d)
2,778
across 62 markets · ~45 per market
EV / position
−$10.93
avg win $51 · loss $117
Profit Factor
0.75
$1,928 won / $2,584 lost
Reward / Risk
0.43
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,690
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $26,341,817

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.3% 81,260W/74,081L 6754 $954,294
🌤 Weather 54.8% 5,217W/4,311L 728 $58,222
🏛 Politics 58.1% 764W/552L 24 $35,119
🎬 Culture 84.8% 696W/125L 18 $17,411
🤖 Tech 26.7% 16W/44L 4 $844
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/34L 4 $288
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $85

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 6? Yes 242 1.000 $242.14 $169.46 +233.1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6? No 191 1.000 $190.81 $66.73 +53.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? Yes 181 1.000 $180.65 $64.04 +54.9%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6? No 177 1.000 $177.07 $60.10 +51.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 6? No 155 1.000 $155.23 $60.34 +63.6%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 6? No 139 1.000 $139.19 $74.88 +116.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 6? No 134 1.000 $133.52 $45.04 +50.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? Yes 133 0.999 $132.90 $87.64 +193.6%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 6? Yes 135 0.980 $132.72 $100.14 +307.4%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 6? No 131 1.000 $131.10 $38.82 +42.1%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 6? No 129 1.000 $128.72 $34.54 +36.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6? No 125 1.000 $124.90 $49.33 +65.3%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? No 124 1.000 $124.06 $51.75 +71.6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6? Yes 120 1.000 $120.32 $64.01 +113.7%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6? No 169 0.705 $119.34 $39.80 +50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? Yes 117 1.000 $117.42 $40.00 +51.7%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 6? No 117 1.000 $116.59 $37.93 +48.2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? Yes 187 0.545 $101.97 $-4.05 -3.8%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? No 224 0.455 $101.97 $-21.57 -17.5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6? No 114 0.895 $101.81 $21.26 +26.4%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 6? No 99 1.000 $98.72 $27.78 +39.2%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6? Yes 99 1.000 $98.46 $62.63 +174.8%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 6? No 91 1.000 $90.92 $45.77 +101.4%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 6? No 89 1.000 $88.61 $13.77 +18.4%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 6? No 88 1.000 $88.06 $23.94 +37.3%