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Trader leaderboard/Poligarch

Poligarch

0xb40e89677d59665d5188541ad860450a6e2a7cc9
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$203
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
74%
139W / 48L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
72%
139W / 55L
Trades (30d)
194
across 11 markets · ~18 per market
EV / position
+$20.32
avg win $38 · loss $6
Profit Factor
9.78
$226 won / $23 lost
Reward / Risk
6.52
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$22
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $445,853 · all-time $26,349,013

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.4% 81,777W/74,322L 6759 $954,328
🌤 Weather 54.7% 5,285W/4,369L 730 $58,247
🏛 Politics 58.1% 764W/552L 24 $35,119
🎬 Culture 84.8% 696W/125L 18 $17,411
🤖 Tech 26.7% 16W/44L 4 $844
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/34L 4 $288
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $85

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6? No 373 0.995 $370.88 $197.52 +113.9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? No 334 1.000 $334.22 $188.91 +130.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? Yes 300 0.995 $298.96 $210.05 +236.3%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6? No 315 0.880 $277.55 $56.23 +25.4%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 6? Yes 283 0.915 $258.78 $159.91 +161.7%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 6? No 263 0.981 $258.23 $68.12 +35.8%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6? No 231 0.935 $216.02 $82.75 +62.1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6? Yes 214 0.998 $213.31 $142.40 +200.8%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6? Yes 189 0.983 $186.02 $79.05 +73.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? Yes 181 1.000 $180.65 $64.04 +54.9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? Yes 166 0.985 $163.36 $105.78 +183.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? No 224 0.635 $142.31 $18.77 +15.2%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 6? No 139 1.000 $139.19 $74.88 +116.5%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 6? Yes 135 1.000 $135.36 $102.78 +315.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 6? No 134 1.000 $133.52 $45.04 +50.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? Yes 133 1.000 $133.03 $87.77 +193.9%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? No 129 1.000 $128.93 $52.84 +69.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 6? No 129 1.000 $128.72 $34.54 +36.7%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 6? Yes 172 0.715 $122.96 $46.85 +61.6%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6? No 114 1.000 $113.70 $33.15 +41.2%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 6? No 91 1.000 $90.92 $45.77 +101.4%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 6? No 89 1.000 $88.61 $13.77 +18.4%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 6? No 88 1.000 $88.06 $23.94 +37.3%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 6? Yes 79 1.000 $79.28 $48.08 +154.1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6? No 98 0.770 $75.51 $9.12 +13.7%