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Trader leaderboard/protarus

protarus

0xb4089400e90f92b62f2e20111df6e04a60f5fcb1
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
2W / 2L
Win Return (30d)
50%
2W / 2L
Trades (30d)
4
across 2 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.33
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.57
$1 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
0.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $850 · all-time $24,843

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.8% 7W/6L 18 $444
🏛 Politics 33.3% 1W/2L 7 $144
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $6
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 210 0.835 $175.68 $13.77 +8.5%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 50 0.955 $47.75 $1.60 +3.5%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 50 0.945 $47.25 $4.35 +10.1%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 70 0.625 $43.75 $-18.90 -30.2%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 40 0.962 $38.46 $2.11 +5.8%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 30 0.945 $28.35 $2.85 +11.2%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 36 0.675 $24.30 $-1.52 -5.9%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 20 0.963 $19.25 $0.71 +3.8%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No 19 0.968 $17.91 $1.91 +12.0%
Trump goes to space in 2026? No 15 0.984 $14.75 $0.48 +3.3%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 15 0.927 $13.91 $1.45 +11.6%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 100 0.117 $11.65 $-0.05 -0.4%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 40 0.275 $11.00 $2.20 +25.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 11 0.935 $10.04 $4.04 +67.2%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 10 0.910 $9.10 $1.60 +21.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 45 0.165 $7.42 $1.12 +17.9%
NATO dissolves before 2027? No 6 0.976 $5.86 $0.22 +3.8%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 4 0.949 $4.13 $0.13 +3.1%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 345 0.009 $2.93 $0.17 +6.2%
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No 2 0.977 $2.04 $0.05 +2.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? Yes 60 0.032 $1.89 $0.43 +29.5%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes 7 0.105 $0.73 $-0.53 -41.7%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 3 0.255 $0.67 $-0.33 -32.9%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? Yes 2 0.325 $0.56 $-0.84 -59.9%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? Yes 5 0.045 $0.23 $-0.38 -62.5%