PnL (30d)

−$10

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-100.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 1L

Win Return (30d)

0%

0W / 1L

Trades (30d)

1

across 1 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$10.50

· loss $10

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $10 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$10

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	53.8% 7W/6L	18	$500
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/2L	6	$188
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	210	0.845	$177.78	$15.87	+9.8%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	50	0.955	$47.75	$1.60	+3.5%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	50	0.945	$47.25	$4.35	+10.1%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	70	0.635	$44.45	$-18.20	-29.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	40	0.962	$38.48	$2.13	+5.9%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	30	0.945	$28.35	$2.85	+11.2%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	36	0.675	$24.30	$-1.52	-5.9%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	20	0.963	$19.25	$0.71	+3.8%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	19	0.968	$17.91	$1.91	+12.0%
Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	15	0.984	$14.75	$0.48	+3.3%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	15	0.924	$13.87	$1.40	+11.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.117	$11.65	$-0.05	-0.4%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	40	0.275	$11.00	$2.20	+25.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	11	0.935	$10.04	$4.04	+67.2%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	10	0.915	$9.15	$1.65	+22.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	45	0.165	$7.42	$1.12	+17.9%
NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	6	0.976	$5.86	$0.22	+3.8%
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	4	0.949	$4.12	$0.12	+3.1%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	345	0.009	$2.93	$0.17	+6.2%
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	2	0.977	$2.04	$0.05	+2.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	60	0.028	$1.65	$0.19	+13.0%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	7	0.110	$0.77	$-0.49	-38.9%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	3	0.255	$0.67	$-0.33	-32.9%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	Yes	2	0.325	$0.56	$-0.84	-59.9%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	5	0.045	$0.23	$-0.38	-62.5%