| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
210 |
0.835 |
$175.68 |
$13.77 |
+8.5% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.955 |
$47.75 |
$1.60 |
+3.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.945 |
$47.25 |
$4.35 |
+10.1% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
70 |
0.625 |
$43.75 |
$-18.90 |
-30.2% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.963 |
$38.50 |
$2.15 |
+5.9% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.945 |
$28.35 |
$2.85 |
+11.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
36 |
0.675 |
$24.30 |
$-1.52 |
-5.9% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.963 |
$19.25 |
$0.71 |
+3.8% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
No |
19 |
0.968 |
$17.91 |
$1.91 |
+12.0% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.984 |
$14.75 |
$0.48 |
+3.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
15 |
0.927 |
$13.91 |
$1.45 |
+11.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.117 |
$11.65 |
$-0.05 |
-0.4% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
Yes |
40 |
0.275 |
$11.00 |
$2.20 |
+25.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
11 |
0.935 |
$10.04 |
$4.04 |
+67.2% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
10 |
0.915 |
$9.15 |
$1.65 |
+22.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
45 |
0.165 |
$7.42 |
$1.12 |
+17.9% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.976 |
$5.86 |
$0.22 |
+3.8% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
4 |
0.952 |
$4.14 |
$0.14 |
+3.4% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
345 |
0.009 |
$2.93 |
$0.17 |
+6.2% |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? |
No |
2 |
0.977 |
$2.04 |
$0.05 |
+2.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
60 |
0.032 |
$1.92 |
$0.46 |
+31.5% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
Yes |
7 |
0.105 |
$0.73 |
$-0.53 |
-41.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.255 |
$0.67 |
$-0.33 |
-32.9% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.325 |
$0.56 |
$-0.84 |
-59.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.045 |
$0.23 |
$-0.38 |
-62.5% |