| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
2,031 |
0.825 |
$1,675.78 |
$-11.22 |
-0.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,672 |
0.925 |
$1,546.50 |
$100.25 |
+6.9% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,627 |
0.785 |
$1,277.26 |
$83.75 |
+7.0% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,846 |
0.625 |
$1,153.67 |
$-79.39 |
-6.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
1,200 |
0.935 |
$1,122.00 |
$60.00 |
+5.6% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
1,200 |
0.935 |
$1,122.00 |
$48.00 |
+4.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
1,701 |
0.615 |
$1,045.90 |
$0.53 |
+0.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,100 |
0.925 |
$1,018.05 |
$35.45 |
+3.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.920 |
$920.00 |
$40.71 |
+4.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
925 |
0.980 |
$906.50 |
$57.46 |
+6.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.875 |
$875.00 |
$53.00 |
+6.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
5,140 |
0.165 |
$848.11 |
$-435.14 |
-33.9% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
888 |
0.875 |
$777.16 |
$-1.78 |
-0.2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
800 |
0.945 |
$756.00 |
$36.00 |
+5.0% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
800 |
0.935 |
$748.00 |
$8.00 |
+1.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
1,000 |
0.695 |
$694.90 |
$-33.10 |
-4.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
700 |
0.978 |
$684.60 |
$1.60 |
+0.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,169 |
0.575 |
$672.13 |
$6.96 |
+1.0% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
850 |
0.790 |
$671.48 |
$103.50 |
+18.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
750 |
0.885 |
$663.75 |
$5.75 |
+0.9% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
846 |
0.765 |
$647.31 |
$22.58 |
+3.6% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
650 |
0.952 |
$618.48 |
$13.12 |
+2.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
710 |
0.865 |
$614.15 |
$83.15 |
+15.7% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.610 |
$609.99 |
$-22.00 |
-3.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
720 |
0.845 |
$608.01 |
$42.10 |
+7.4% |