| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
2,031 |
0.835 |
$1,696.10 |
$9.09 |
+0.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,672 |
0.925 |
$1,546.50 |
$100.25 |
+6.9% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,846 |
0.680 |
$1,255.19 |
$22.13 |
+1.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
1,200 |
0.935 |
$1,122.00 |
$60.00 |
+5.6% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
1,200 |
0.935 |
$1,122.00 |
$48.00 |
+4.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.920 |
$1,104.00 |
$48.85 |
+4.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
1,701 |
0.625 |
$1,062.91 |
$17.53 |
+1.7% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,100 |
0.924 |
$1,016.40 |
$33.80 |
+3.4% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,227 |
0.760 |
$932.58 |
$52.77 |
+6.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
925 |
0.979 |
$905.11 |
$56.08 |
+6.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.875 |
$875.00 |
$53.00 |
+6.4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
800 |
0.945 |
$756.00 |
$36.00 |
+5.0% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
800 |
0.935 |
$748.00 |
$8.00 |
+1.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
3,689 |
0.195 |
$719.43 |
$-344.14 |
-32.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
750 |
0.958 |
$718.51 |
$50.68 |
+7.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
1,000 |
0.705 |
$705.00 |
$-23.00 |
-3.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
700 |
0.980 |
$685.65 |
$2.65 |
+0.4% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
850 |
0.790 |
$671.48 |
$103.50 |
+18.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
750 |
0.885 |
$663.75 |
$5.75 |
+0.9% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
650 |
0.949 |
$616.52 |
$11.17 |
+1.8% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
688 |
0.885 |
$609.04 |
$6.10 |
+1.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
720 |
0.845 |
$608.01 |
$42.10 |
+7.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
710 |
0.855 |
$607.05 |
$76.05 |
+14.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
846 |
0.715 |
$605.00 |
$-19.73 |
-3.2% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.605 |
$604.99 |
$-27.00 |
-4.3% |