| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
16,000 |
0.595 |
$9,520.00 |
$1,520.00 |
+19.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
16,000 |
0.405 |
$6,480.00 |
$-1,520.00 |
-19.0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
2,350 |
0.915 |
$2,150.26 |
$701.96 |
+48.5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
1,700 |
0.855 |
$1,453.51 |
$235.37 |
+19.3% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
2,350 |
0.590 |
$1,386.50 |
$59.91 |
+4.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.455 |
$910.00 |
$10.00 |
+1.1% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
960 |
0.940 |
$901.93 |
$27.10 |
+3.1% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
1,260 |
0.500 |
$630.00 |
$-12.57 |
-2.0% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
960 |
0.545 |
$523.20 |
$139.80 |
+36.5% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
960 |
0.545 |
$523.20 |
$-109.37 |
-17.3% |
| Will Meituan have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
307 |
0.955 |
$293.26 |
$-5.22 |
-1.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.935 |
$280.50 |
$5.50 |
+2.0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
1,700 |
0.110 |
$187.00 |
$-96.57 |
-34.1% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
1,200 |
0.145 |
$174.00 |
$-44.51 |
-20.4% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
No |
190 |
0.900 |
$171.00 |
$5.22 |
+3.2% |
| Will MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
No |
178 |
0.917 |
$163.12 |
$22.90 |
+16.3% |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
No |
209 |
0.720 |
$150.49 |
$-36.99 |
-19.7% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
290 |
0.430 |
$124.70 |
$54.61 |
+77.9% |
| Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
240 |
0.500 |
$120.00 |
$86.15 |
+254.6% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
No |
190 |
0.595 |
$113.05 |
$-2.85 |
-2.5% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
No |
113 |
0.970 |
$109.61 |
$16.95 |
+18.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
112 |
0.925 |
$103.69 |
$1.68 |
+1.6% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
No |
190 |
0.515 |
$97.85 |
$4.75 |
+5.1% |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
240 |
0.400 |
$95.90 |
$30.79 |
+47.3% |
| Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.950 |
$94.64 |
$3.03 |
+3.3% |