| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
16,000 |
0.595 |
$9,520.00 |
$1,520.00 |
+19.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
16,000 |
0.405 |
$6,480.00 |
$-1,520.00 |
-19.0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
2,150 |
0.905 |
$1,945.76 |
$683.46 |
+54.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
1,700 |
0.835 |
$1,419.51 |
$201.37 |
+16.5% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
2,150 |
0.595 |
$1,279.25 |
$72.66 |
+6.0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
960 |
0.919 |
$882.25 |
$7.42 |
+0.8% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
1,060 |
0.545 |
$577.70 |
$31.13 |
+5.7% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
960 |
0.550 |
$528.00 |
$144.60 |
+37.7% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
960 |
0.550 |
$528.00 |
$-104.57 |
-16.5% |
| Will Meituan have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
307 |
0.971 |
$298.18 |
$-0.30 |
-0.1% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.935 |
$280.50 |
$5.50 |
+2.0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.155 |
$232.50 |
$-40.64 |
-14.9% |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
No |
209 |
0.960 |
$200.66 |
$13.17 |
+7.0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
1,700 |
0.115 |
$195.50 |
$-88.07 |
-31.1% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
No |
190 |
0.905 |
$171.95 |
$6.17 |
+3.7% |
| Will MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
No |
158 |
0.794 |
$125.36 |
$3.87 |
+3.2% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
No |
190 |
0.655 |
$124.45 |
$8.55 |
+7.4% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
No |
113 |
0.959 |
$108.37 |
$15.71 |
+17.0% |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
240 |
0.435 |
$104.29 |
$39.18 |
+60.2% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.415 |
$103.75 |
$50.86 |
+96.2% |
| Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
240 |
0.425 |
$102.00 |
$68.15 |
+201.4% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
No |
190 |
0.515 |
$97.85 |
$4.75 |
+5.1% |
| Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.950 |
$94.64 |
$3.03 |
+3.3% |
| Will Mistral be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
No |
84 |
0.987 |
$82.87 |
$22.16 |
+36.5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
1,700 |
0.046 |
$78.20 |
$-8.03 |
-9.3% |