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Trader leaderboard/AJSV

AJSV

0xad5353afe30c2da57709e2704ef3ccdcf67eef24
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$92
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$282
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
78W / 63L · 309 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
310W / 140L
Trades (30d)
450
across 87 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$3.19
avg win $19 · loss $8
Profit Factor
1.70
$224 won / $132 lost
Reward / Risk
2.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$86
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $179,805 · all-time $15,078,116

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.5% 5,825W/5,067L 7772 $286,492
🏛 Politics 51.3% 138W/131L 961 $25,160
💵 Economy 59.0% 144W/100L 682 $17,195
₿ Crypto 83.1% 74W/15L 380 $10,083
🤖 Tech 55.0% 33W/27L 274 $6,293
🎬 Culture 16.9% 27W/133L 81 $4,965
🔬 Science 19.0% 4W/17L 52 $1,410
🌤 Weather 23.5% 4W/13L 44 $1,010
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 10 $292

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes 357 0.675 $240.97 $170.57 +242.2%
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? No 188 0.945 $177.83 $32.88 +22.7%
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No 173 0.888 $153.95 $2.19 +1.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 155 0.970 $150.53 $81.24 +117.3%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat? No 156 0.943 $147.46 $-1.41 -0.9%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? No 150 0.968 $145.03 $12.42 +9.4%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026? No 157 0.910 $143.33 $16.85 +13.3%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 145 0.987 $143.06 $11.63 +8.8%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes 154 0.915 $141.19 $17.75 +14.4%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat? No 142 0.979 $139.16 $2.77 +2.0%
Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? No 144 0.940 $135.56 $7.83 +6.1%
Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 137 0.984 $135.05 $3.09 +2.3%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? No 146 0.924 $134.45 $2.62 +2.0%
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 130 1.000 $130.02 $38.26 +41.7%
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027? No 133 0.954 $126.69 $5.12 +4.2%
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? No 131 0.963 $126.33 $83.20 +192.9%
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No 145 0.867 $125.58 $13.74 +12.3%
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No 180 0.685 $123.30 $-2.70 -2.1%
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? No 129 0.955 $123.07 $6.27 +5.4%
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? No 133 0.921 $122.73 $3.23 +2.7%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 130 0.945 $122.71 $71.03 +137.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 123 0.995 $122.42 $25.22 +25.9%
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No 132 0.927 $122.11 $22.53 +22.6%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? No 125 0.979 $122.06 $9.44 +8.4%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? No 152 0.797 $121.12 $-14.76 -10.9%