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Trader leaderboard/AJSV

AJSV

0xad5353afe30c2da57709e2704ef3ccdcf67eef24
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$91
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$467
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
398W / 232L · 454 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
686W / 393L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
1,084
across 192 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$0.98
avg win $18 · loss $15
Profit Factor
1.13
$802 won / $711 lost
Reward / Risk
1.26
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$91
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $163,732 · all-time $15,066,215

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.5% 5,775W/5,017L 7772 $286,492
🏛 Politics 51.3% 138W/131L 961 $25,160
💵 Economy 57.0% 127W/96L 682 $17,195
₿ Crypto 83.1% 74W/15L 380 $10,083
🤖 Tech 55.0% 33W/27L 274 $6,293
🎬 Culture 16.9% 27W/133L 81 $4,965
🔬 Science 19.0% 4W/17L 52 $1,410
🌤 Weather 23.5% 4W/13L 44 $1,010
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 10 $292

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

195 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes 357 0.680 $242.76 $172.35 +244.8%
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? No 188 0.945 $177.83 $32.88 +22.7%
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No 173 0.886 $153.51 $1.76 +1.2%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 155 0.970 $150.45 $81.16 +117.1%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat? No 156 0.943 $147.46 $-1.41 -0.9%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? No 150 0.968 $145.03 $12.42 +9.4%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 145 0.987 $143.06 $11.63 +8.8%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes 154 0.915 $141.19 $17.75 +14.4%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat? No 142 0.979 $139.16 $2.77 +2.0%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026? No 157 0.877 $138.13 $11.66 +9.2%
Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 137 0.984 $135.05 $3.09 +2.3%
Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? No 144 0.929 $134.04 $6.31 +4.9%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? No 146 0.919 $133.72 $1.89 +1.4%
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 130 1.000 $130.02 $38.26 +41.7%
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027? No 133 0.953 $126.62 $5.05 +4.2%
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No 145 0.860 $124.56 $12.73 +11.4%
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No 180 0.685 $123.30 $-2.70 -2.1%
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? No 133 0.921 $122.73 $3.23 +2.7%
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? No 129 0.952 $122.69 $5.88 +5.0%
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No 132 0.926 $122.05 $22.47 +22.6%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 123 0.992 $121.99 $24.79 +25.5%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 130 0.939 $121.94 $70.25 +135.9%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? No 152 0.801 $121.72 $-14.15 -10.4%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? No 125 0.975 $121.50 $8.88 +7.9%
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%? No 122 0.996 $121.33 $35.10 +40.7%