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Trader leaderboard/AJSV

AJSV

0xad5353afe30c2da57709e2704ef3ccdcf67eef24
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$732
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2,097
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
737W / 452L · 3,526 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
3,138W / 1,548L · 29 open
Trades (30d)
4,715
across 1,131 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$2.86
avg win $17 · loss $9
Profit Factor
1.57
$2,006 won / $1,274 lost
Reward / Risk
1.87
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$148
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $182,814 · all-time $15,085,298

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.5% 5,865W/5,099L 7772 $286,492
🏛 Politics 50.5% 140W/137L 961 $25,160
💵 Economy 58.8% 144W/101L 682 $17,195
₿ Crypto 83.1% 74W/15L 380 $10,083
🤖 Tech 55.0% 33W/27L 274 $6,293
🎬 Culture 16.9% 27W/133L 81 $4,965
🔬 Science 19.0% 4W/17L 52 $1,410
🌤 Weather 23.5% 4W/13L 44 $1,010
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 10 $292

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes 357 0.680 $242.76 $172.35 +244.8%
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? No 188 0.945 $177.83 $32.88 +22.7%
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No 173 0.888 $153.95 $2.19 +1.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 155 0.990 $153.63 $84.35 +121.7%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat? No 156 0.944 $147.61 $-1.25 -0.8%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? No 150 0.967 $144.88 $12.27 +9.3%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026? No 157 0.919 $144.74 $18.27 +14.4%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 145 0.987 $143.06 $11.63 +8.8%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes 154 0.915 $141.19 $17.75 +14.4%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat? No 142 0.979 $139.16 $2.77 +2.0%
Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 137 0.984 $135.05 $3.09 +2.3%
Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? No 144 0.932 $134.48 $6.75 +5.3%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? No 146 0.920 $133.87 $2.04 +1.5%
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 130 1.000 $130.02 $38.26 +41.7%
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No 145 0.867 $125.50 $13.67 +12.2%
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027? No 133 0.944 $125.36 $3.79 +3.1%
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No 180 0.685 $123.30 $-2.70 -2.1%
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? No 129 0.955 $123.07 $6.27 +5.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 123 0.998 $122.79 $25.59 +26.3%
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? No 133 0.921 $122.66 $3.16 +2.6%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 130 0.942 $122.26 $70.58 +136.6%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? No 125 0.980 $122.12 $9.50 +8.4%
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No 132 0.927 $122.11 $22.53 +22.6%
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? No 131 0.929 $121.94 $78.81 +182.7%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 140 0.865 $121.10 $4.90 +4.2%