PnL (30d)

−$4

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$21

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

59%

16W / 11L · 40 open

Win Return (30d)

84%

56W / 11L

Trades (30d)

67

across 14 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$0.60

avg win $2 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.65

$7 won / $10 lost

Reward / Risk

0.32

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.0% 4,977W/7,153L	2381	$99,318
⚽ Sports	31.3% 229W/503L	327	$4,604
💵 Economy	77.4% 89W/26L	120	$4,378
₿ Crypto	78.6% 88W/24L	93	$3,763
🤖 Tech	68.3% 28W/13L	42	$1,099
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/13L	29	$904
🔬 Science	100.0% 2W/0L	8	$104
🌤 Weather	100.0% 1W/0L	5	$75

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

185 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	634	0.482	$305.56	$304.93	+48100.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	516	0.486	$251.04	$250.52	+48550.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	540	0.395	$212.99	$212.45	+39350.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.338	$175.46	$174.94	+33650.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.321	$166.59	$166.07	+31950.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	200	0.449	$89.70	$87.70	+4385.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.135	$70.15	$69.63	+13400.0%
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5	Under	56	1.000	$55.51	$45.52	+455.3%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	530	0.099	$52.46	$51.93	+9800.0%
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	114	0.262	$29.88	$17.88	+149.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.056	$29.11	$28.59	+5500.0%
FK Dinamo Moskva vs. FK Dinamo Makhachkala: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	86	0.330	$28.22	$16.25	+135.7%
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: CF Villarreal C 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	26	0.995	$25.51	$15.51	+155.1%
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5	Under	25	1.000	$24.98	$14.99	+149.9%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 6, 2026?	Yes	73	0.255	$18.70	$7.70	+70.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	502	0.035	$17.77	$17.26	+3440.0%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	92	0.190	$17.42	$6.42	+58.3%
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5	Under	16	1.000	$16.11	$6.12	+61.2%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?	Yes	92	0.165	$15.12	$9.62	+175.0%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?	No	71	0.210	$15.00	$4.47	+42.5%
Spread: CF Villarreal C (-1.5)	Levante UD	15	1.000	$14.50	$5.51	+61.2%
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers	LG Twins	25	0.530	$13.25	$2.25	+20.5%
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?	Yes	21	0.636	$13.11	$2.11	+19.2%
Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on August 31?	No	58	0.225	$13.03	$2.03	+18.4%
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	375	0.035	$12.94	$8.44	+187.5%