PnL (30d)

−$44

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$14

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

373W / 324L · 310 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

534W / 466L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

1,007

across 93 markets · ~11 per market

EV / position

−$1.30

avg win $7 · loss $9

Profit Factor

0.72

$112 won / $156 lost

Reward / Risk

0.81

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.0% 4,977W/7,153L	2381	$99,318
⚽ Sports	32.3% 255W/535L	351	$4,948
💵 Economy	69.0% 80W/36L	125	$4,581
₿ Crypto	69.9% 79W/34L	96	$3,876
🤖 Tech	54.7% 29W/24L	46	$1,307
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/15L	31	$977
🔬 Science	100.0% 2W/0L	8	$124
🌤 Weather	100.0% 1W/0L	5	$95

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

187 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	634	0.482	$305.88	$305.25	+48150.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	516	0.465	$239.69	$239.17	+46350.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.451	$234.42	$233.90	+45000.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	540	0.404	$218.12	$217.58	+40300.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	502	0.244	$122.70	$122.20	+24350.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.196	$101.90	$101.38	+19500.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	540	0.177	$95.83	$95.29	+17650.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	200	0.457	$91.40	$89.40	+4470.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.086	$44.89	$44.37	+8540.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.066	$34.05	$33.53	+6450.0%
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	114	0.262	$29.88	$17.88	+149.0%
FK Dinamo Moskva vs. FK Dinamo Makhachkala: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	86	0.330	$28.22	$16.25	+135.7%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	747	0.035	$26.13	$25.38	+3400.0%
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: CF Villarreal C 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	26	0.995	$25.51	$15.51	+155.1%
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5	Under	56	0.380	$21.11	$11.11	+111.1%
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5	Under	25	0.830	$20.75	$10.75	+107.5%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 6, 2026?	Yes	73	0.255	$18.70	$7.70	+70.0%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	92	0.185	$16.96	$5.96	+54.2%
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5	Under	16	0.941	$15.42	$5.42	+54.3%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?	No	71	0.215	$15.36	$4.83	+45.9%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?	Yes	92	0.165	$15.12	$9.62	+175.0%
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	375	0.036	$13.69	$9.19	+204.2%
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5	Under	16	0.815	$13.14	$3.14	+31.4%
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers	LG Twins	25	0.525	$13.12	$2.12	+19.3%
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?	Yes	21	0.636	$13.11	$2.11	+19.2%