PnL (30d)

−$9

Science · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$27

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

9W / 13L · 84 open

Win Return (30d)

69%

72W / 32L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

106

across 23 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$1.49

avg win $1 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.23

$3 won / $12 lost

Reward / Risk

0.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.0% 4,977W/7,153L	2381	$99,318
⚽ Sports	32.3% 255W/535L	351	$4,948
💵 Economy	69.0% 80W/36L	125	$4,581
₿ Crypto	69.9% 79W/34L	96	$3,876
🤖 Tech	54.7% 29W/24L	46	$1,307
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/15L	31	$977
🔬 Science	100.0% 2W/0L	8	$124
🌤 Weather	100.0% 1W/0L	5	$95

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

185 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	634	0.482	$305.88	$305.25	+48150.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	540	0.395	$213.26	$212.72	+39400.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.359	$186.64	$186.12	+35800.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.294	$152.82	$152.30	+29300.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	200	0.449	$89.80	$87.80	+4390.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	516	0.166	$85.66	$85.14	+16500.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.150	$78.20	$77.68	+14950.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	530	0.130	$68.89	$68.36	+12900.0%
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5	Under	56	1.000	$55.51	$45.52	+455.3%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.098	$50.69	$50.17	+9650.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	502	0.068	$33.88	$33.37	+6650.0%
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	114	0.262	$29.88	$17.88	+149.0%
FK Dinamo Moskva vs. FK Dinamo Makhachkala: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	86	0.330	$28.22	$16.25	+135.7%
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: CF Villarreal C 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	26	0.995	$25.51	$15.51	+155.1%
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5	Under	25	1.000	$24.98	$14.99	+149.9%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 6, 2026?	Yes	73	0.255	$18.70	$7.70	+70.0%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	92	0.185	$16.96	$5.96	+54.2%
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5	Under	16	1.000	$16.11	$6.12	+61.2%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?	Yes	92	0.165	$15.12	$9.62	+175.0%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?	No	71	0.210	$15.00	$4.47	+42.5%
Spread: CF Villarreal C (-1.5)	Levante UD	15	1.000	$14.50	$5.51	+61.2%
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	375	0.035	$13.28	$8.78	+195.0%
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers	LG Twins	25	0.530	$13.25	$2.25	+20.5%
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?	Yes	21	0.636	$13.11	$2.11	+19.2%
Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on August 31?	No	58	0.225	$13.03	$2.03	+18.4%