PnL (30d)

−$588

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2,031

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

4,977W / 7,152L · 4,713 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

7,222W / 9,218L · 402 open

Trades (30d)

16,842

across 2,365 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$0.38

avg win $5 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.85

$3,245 won / $3,834 lost

Reward / Risk

1.00

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$756

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.0% 4,977W/7,152L	2365	$98,959
⚽ Sports	32.3% 255W/535L	343	$4,880
💵 Economy	69.0% 80W/36L	123	$4,499
₿ Crypto	69.9% 79W/34L	95	$3,813
🤖 Tech	54.7% 29W/24L	44	$1,258
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/15L	31	$942
🔬 Science	100.0% 2W/0L	8	$124
🌤 Weather	100.0% 1W/0L	5	$95

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

189 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	634	0.481	$304.93	$304.30	+48000.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.486	$252.87	$252.35	+48550.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	516	0.477	$246.14	$245.62	+47600.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	540	0.429	$231.88	$231.34	+42850.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.297	$154.41	$153.89	+29600.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	530	0.247	$130.89	$130.36	+24600.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.247	$128.60	$128.08	+24650.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	540	0.232	$125.26	$124.72	+23100.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	502	0.232	$116.43	$115.93	+23100.0%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	200	0.477	$95.40	$93.40	+4670.0%
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	114	0.262	$29.88	$17.88	+149.0%
FK Dinamo Moskva vs. FK Dinamo Makhachkala: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	86	0.330	$28.22	$16.25	+135.7%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	520	0.053	$27.81	$27.29	+5250.0%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 6, 2026?	Yes	73	0.255	$18.70	$7.70	+70.0%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	92	0.190	$17.42	$6.42	+58.3%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?	Yes	92	0.165	$15.12	$9.62	+175.0%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?	No	71	0.205	$14.64	$4.12	+39.1%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	747	0.018	$13.81	$13.06	+1750.0%
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers	LG Twins	25	0.545	$13.62	$2.62	+23.9%
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	375	0.035	$13.28	$8.78	+195.0%
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?	Yes	21	0.642	$13.23	$2.23	+20.3%
Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on August 31?	No	58	0.225	$13.03	$2.03	+18.4%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?	Yes	172	0.075	$12.93	$7.93	+158.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	No	29	0.445	$12.81	$-0.43	-3.3%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	No	23	0.545	$12.67	$2.67	+26.7%