| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
5,313 |
0.930 |
$4,940.70 |
$584.38 |
+13.4% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,391 |
0.395 |
$1,339.52 |
$-185.12 |
-12.1% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
1,690 |
0.745 |
$1,258.35 |
$140.00 |
+12.5% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
2,245 |
0.460 |
$1,031.74 |
$-451.00 |
-30.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,200 |
0.455 |
$1,001.00 |
$-275.00 |
-21.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
1,895 |
0.380 |
$720.06 |
$-302.01 |
-29.5% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
1,000 |
0.645 |
$645.00 |
$5.00 |
+0.8% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
2,864 |
0.213 |
$611.56 |
$-121.38 |
-16.6% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
877 |
0.650 |
$569.99 |
$-17.56 |
-3.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
3,372 |
0.105 |
$354.10 |
$-259.11 |
-42.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
1,387 |
0.215 |
$298.20 |
$-20.80 |
-6.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
618 |
0.479 |
$296.02 |
$-23.48 |
-7.3% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
612 |
0.055 |
$33.66 |
$-70.38 |
-67.6% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
379 |
0.011 |
$3.98 |
$-14.12 |
-78.0% |