| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
5,313 |
0.925 |
$4,914.14 |
$557.82 |
+12.8% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,391 |
0.395 |
$1,339.52 |
$-185.12 |
-12.1% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
1,690 |
0.745 |
$1,258.35 |
$140.00 |
+12.5% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
2,245 |
0.461 |
$1,033.98 |
$-448.75 |
-30.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,200 |
0.465 |
$1,023.00 |
$-253.00 |
-19.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
1,895 |
0.370 |
$701.11 |
$-320.96 |
-31.4% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
1,000 |
0.635 |
$635.00 |
$-5.00 |
-0.8% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
2,864 |
0.213 |
$611.56 |
$-121.38 |
-16.6% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
877 |
0.560 |
$491.07 |
$-96.48 |
-16.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
1,387 |
0.205 |
$284.33 |
$-34.67 |
-10.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
618 |
0.400 |
$246.89 |
$-72.61 |
-22.7% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
612 |
0.055 |
$33.66 |
$-70.38 |
-67.6% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
379 |
0.011 |
$3.98 |
$-14.12 |
-78.0% |