| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
5,313 |
0.920 |
$4,887.57 |
$531.26 |
+12.2% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,391 |
0.395 |
$1,339.52 |
$-185.12 |
-12.1% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
1,690 |
0.746 |
$1,260.04 |
$141.69 |
+12.7% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
2,245 |
0.465 |
$1,042.96 |
$-439.77 |
-29.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,200 |
0.465 |
$1,023.00 |
$-253.00 |
-19.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
1,895 |
0.415 |
$786.38 |
$-235.69 |
-23.1% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
1,000 |
0.645 |
$645.00 |
$5.00 |
+0.8% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
2,864 |
0.213 |
$611.56 |
$-121.38 |
-16.6% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
877 |
0.640 |
$561.22 |
$-26.33 |
-4.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
3,372 |
0.090 |
$303.51 |
$-309.70 |
-50.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
1,387 |
0.215 |
$298.20 |
$-20.80 |
-6.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
618 |
0.460 |
$283.97 |
$-35.53 |
-11.1% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
612 |
0.055 |
$33.66 |
$-70.38 |
-67.6% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
379 |
0.013 |
$4.73 |
$-13.37 |
-73.8% |