| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
5,313 |
0.920 |
$4,887.57 |
$531.26 |
+12.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
3,556 |
0.750 |
$2,667.05 |
$-111.53 |
-4.0% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,391 |
0.390 |
$1,322.57 |
$-202.07 |
-13.3% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
1,690 |
0.743 |
$1,255.82 |
$137.46 |
+12.3% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
2,245 |
0.447 |
$1,003.67 |
$-479.07 |
-32.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,200 |
0.455 |
$1,001.00 |
$-275.00 |
-21.6% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
877 |
0.825 |
$723.45 |
$135.90 |
+23.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
1,895 |
0.365 |
$691.63 |
$-330.43 |
-32.3% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
No |
1,000 |
0.635 |
$635.00 |
$-5.00 |
-0.8% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
2,864 |
0.213 |
$611.56 |
$-121.38 |
-16.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
618 |
0.442 |
$273.16 |
$-46.35 |
-14.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
1,387 |
0.155 |
$214.99 |
$-104.02 |
-32.6% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
612 |
0.055 |
$33.66 |
$-70.38 |
-67.6% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
379 |
0.011 |
$3.98 |
$-14.12 |
-78.0% |