PnL (30d)

−$4

Science · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$9

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 6L · 18 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

5W / 15L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

24

across 7 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$1.97

· loss $2

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $4 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	3.5% 171W/4,686L	1784	$146,891
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/23L	83	$6,616
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	45	$2,640
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/21L	32	$2,339
🌤 Weather	7.2% 5W/64L	21	$1,434
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/2L	18	$1,603
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	14	$482
⚽ Sports	—	10	$716
🔬 Science	—	1	$106

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by August 31?	Yes	43	0.205	$8.90	$-4.12	-31.7%
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	No	43	0.115	$4.98	$-26.22	-84.0%
Will Emiliano Martinez join Al-Hilal?	Yes	50	0.075	$3.77	$-11.88	-75.9%
Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?	No	90	0.026	$2.38	$-59.72	-96.2%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	50	0.004	$0.17	$-16.68	-99.0%