PnL (30d)

−$126

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$425

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

3%

10W / 288L · 737 open

Win Return (30d)

1%

13W / 959L · 63 open

Trades (30d)

1,035

across 228 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$2.37

avg win $4 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.09

$12 won / $138 lost

Reward / Risk

1.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$18

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	3.5% 171W/4,689L	1784	$146,891
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/18L	71	$5,745
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	41	$2,167
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/14L	28	$2,082
🌤 Weather	8.3% 5W/55L	21	$1,271
🤖 Tech	—	16	$1,470
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	14	$482
⚽ Sports	—	9	$668
🔬 Science	—	1	$106

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by August 31?	Yes	43	0.215	$9.33	$-3.69	-28.3%
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	No	43	0.115	$4.98	$-26.22	-84.0%
Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?	No	90	0.026	$2.38	$-59.72	-96.2%
Will Emiliano Martinez join Al-Hilal?	Yes	50	0.028	$1.40	$-14.25	-91.1%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	50	0.001	$0.03	$-16.83	-99.9%