PnL (30d)

−$3,137

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,705

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

4%

171W / 4,686L · 2,771 open

Win Return (30d)

3%

232W / 6,727L · 669 open

Trades (30d)

7,628

across 1,784 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$3.07

avg win $2 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.03

$96 won / $3,233 lost

Reward / Risk

0.64

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$248

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	3.5% 171W/4,686L	1784	$146,891
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/23L	83	$6,616
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	45	$2,640
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/21L	32	$2,339
🌤 Weather	7.2% 5W/64L	21	$1,434
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/2L	18	$1,603
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	14	$482
⚽ Sports	—	10	$716
🔬 Science	—	1	$106

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by August 31?	Yes	43	0.210	$9.11	$-3.91	-30.0%
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	No	43	0.115	$4.98	$-26.22	-84.0%
Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?	No	90	0.027	$2.43	$-59.67	-96.1%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher?	Yes	70	0.020	$1.40	$-0.70	-33.3%
Will Emiliano Martinez join Al-Hilal?	Yes	50	0.018	$0.88	$-14.78	-94.4%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	50	0.004	$0.20	$-16.65	-98.8%