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Trader

0x99bce72fb855cc8eebe6c85683ede46da1784f35
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$98
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$42
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+6.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
178W / 124L · 62 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
219W / 145L
Trades (30d)
364
across 111 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$1.06
avg win $12 · loss $6
Profit Factor
1.30
$424 won / $325 lost
Reward / Risk
2.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$86
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34,621 · all-time $8,253,252

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.5% 11,419W/10,738L 4379 $188,065
⚽ Sports 48.3% 555W/595L 392 $5,722
🌤 Weather 57.4% 328W/243L 110 $2,432
₿ Crypto 39.4% 54W/83L 54 $713
💵 Economy 34.7% 26W/49L 39 $543
🎬 Culture 59.6% 56W/38L 34 $438
🏛 Politics 92.9% 26W/2L 14 $193
🤖 Tech 100.0% 11W/0L 6 $244

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

177 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes 226 0.220 $49.71 $-35.63 -41.8%
Will Trump praise Mark Rutte in August? Yes 96 0.370 $35.45 $-14.40 -28.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes 127 0.240 $30.45 $-8.56 -21.9%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 40 0.670 $26.93 $-0.40 -1.5%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $155 Week of August 3 2026? No 77 0.330 $25.27 $-1.92 -7.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? Yes 279 0.085 $23.75 $-55.43 -70.0%
Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: Team to Advance SK Iberia 1999 36 0.565 $20.23 $12.71 +169.0%
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5 Over 74 0.215 $15.96 $11.50 +258.3%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5? No 38 0.360 $13.86 $-4.34 -23.9%
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Mexico" in August? Yes 20 0.685 $13.70 $5.30 +63.1%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes 165 0.080 $13.18 $-9.82 -42.7%
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5 Over 16 0.770 $12.13 $2.97 +32.4%
Rakuten Monkeys vs. TSG Hawks TSG Hawks 23 0.485 $10.99 $9.63 +708.3%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 in August? No 104 0.100 $10.43 $-12.45 -54.4%
Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.510 $10.20 $7.40 +264.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 5? No 17 0.570 $9.84 $-2.25 -18.6%
Ben Pasternak jailed? Yes 185 0.048 $8.77 $5.82 +196.9%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? No 15 0.465 $6.97 $1.27 +22.4%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by August 31? No 18 0.390 $6.97 $-0.89 -11.4%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by August 31? Yes 43 0.160 $6.86 $-2.15 -23.8%
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? No 87 0.071 $6.19 $-17.52 -73.9%
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by August 31? Yes 51 0.120 $6.17 $-1.06 -14.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? No 36 0.153 $5.50 $-3.43 -38.4%
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Severe Tropical Storm" at Japan landfall? Yes 20 0.270 $5.40 $2.00 +58.8%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 150 0.033 $4.97 $-7.07 -58.8%