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Trader

0x99bce72fb855cc8eebe6c85683ede46da1784f35
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$23
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
322W / 225L · 46 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
361W / 230L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
593
across 151 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.18
avg win $8 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.96
$524 won / $547 lost
Reward / Risk
1.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $36,472 · all-time $8,255,103

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.5% 11,424W/10,738L 4379 $188,065
⚽ Sports 49.7% 509W/515L 343 $5,030
🌤 Weather 57.2% 279W/209L 93 $2,023
₿ Crypto 45.8% 54W/64L 46 $676
🎬 Culture 64.7% 55W/30L 33 $412
💵 Economy 40.6% 26W/38L 31 $530
🏛 Politics 92.6% 25W/2L 13 $150
🤖 Tech 100.0% 11W/0L 6 $244

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

179 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes 226 0.205 $46.32 $-39.02 -45.7%
Will Trump praise Mark Rutte in August? Yes 96 0.363 $34.73 $-15.12 -30.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes 127 0.240 $30.45 $-8.56 -21.9%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $155 Week of August 3 2026? No 77 0.365 $27.95 $0.76 +2.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? Yes 279 0.085 $23.75 $-55.43 -70.0%
Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: Team to Advance SK Iberia 1999 36 0.540 $19.34 $11.82 +157.1%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 26 0.600 $15.88 $-2.12 -11.8%
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Mexico" in August? Yes 20 0.685 $13.70 $5.30 +63.1%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes 165 0.080 $13.18 $-9.82 -42.7%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 in August? No 104 0.115 $12.00 $-10.88 -47.6%
Rakuten Monkeys vs. TSG Hawks TSG Hawks 23 0.485 $10.99 $9.63 +708.3%
Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.510 $10.20 $7.40 +264.3%
Ben Pasternak jailed? Yes 185 0.046 $8.58 $5.63 +190.6%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by August 31? No 18 0.415 $7.41 $-0.45 -5.7%
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? No 87 0.071 $6.19 $-17.52 -73.9%
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by August 31? Yes 51 0.120 $6.17 $-1.06 -14.6%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? No 17 0.330 $5.59 $-0.76 -12.0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.50 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 27 0.190 $5.20 $0.27 +5.6%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 150 0.035 $5.19 $-6.85 -56.9%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by August 31? Yes 43 0.100 $4.29 $-4.72 -52.4%
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No 4 0.964 $4.29 $1.66 +63.4%
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.940 $4.20 $3.24 +338.7%
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by September 30? No 5 0.820 $4.09 $2.35 +134.3%
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs Zeu5 Esports 5 0.850 $3.91 $1.24 +46.5%
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? No 4 0.942 $3.83 $2.04 +114.1%