Log in
Trader leaderboard/Trader

Trader

0x99bce72fb855cc8eebe6c85683ede46da1784f35
PnL (30d)
−$4,507
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$558
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
11,419W / 10,738L · 815 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
11,927W / 10,884L · 161 open
Trades (30d)
22,972
across 4,379 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$1.08
avg win $19 · loss $14
Profit Factor
0.87
$30,845 won / $35,353 lost
Reward / Risk
1.40
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$700
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34,474 · all-time $8,252,824

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.5% 11,419W/10,738L 4379 $188,065
⚽ Sports 48.3% 555W/595L 392 $5,722
🌤 Weather 57.4% 328W/243L 110 $2,432
₿ Crypto 39.4% 54W/83L 54 $713
💵 Economy 34.7% 26W/49L 39 $543
🎬 Culture 59.6% 56W/38L 34 $438
🏛 Politics 92.9% 26W/2L 14 $193
🤖 Tech 100.0% 11W/0L 6 $244

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

169 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes 226 0.215 $48.58 $-36.76 -43.1%
Will Trump praise Mark Rutte in August? Yes 96 0.370 $35.45 $-14.40 -28.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes 127 0.240 $30.45 $-8.56 -21.9%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 42 0.670 $27.91 $-0.42 -1.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? Yes 279 0.085 $23.75 $-55.43 -70.0%
Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: Team to Advance SK Iberia 1999 36 0.565 $20.23 $12.71 +169.0%
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Mexico" in August? Yes 20 0.685 $13.70 $5.30 +63.1%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes 165 0.080 $13.18 $-9.82 -42.7%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $155 Week of August 3 2026? No 39 0.315 $12.15 $-1.74 -12.5%
Rakuten Monkeys vs. TSG Hawks TSG Hawks 23 0.485 $10.99 $9.63 +708.3%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 in August? No 104 0.100 $10.43 $-12.45 -54.4%
Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.510 $10.20 $7.40 +264.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 5? No 17 0.545 $9.41 $-2.68 -22.1%
Ben Pasternak jailed? Yes 185 0.046 $8.58 $5.63 +190.6%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by August 31? Yes 43 0.190 $8.15 $-0.86 -9.6%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by August 31? No 18 0.385 $6.88 $-0.98 -12.5%
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? No 87 0.073 $6.33 $-17.38 -73.3%
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by August 31? Yes 51 0.120 $6.17 $-1.06 -14.6%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 150 0.033 $4.97 $-7.07 -58.8%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of August 3 2026? No 40 0.109 $4.36 $-8.56 -66.3%
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No 4 0.962 $4.28 $1.66 +63.0%
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.930 $4.15 $3.20 +334.1%
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by September 30? No 5 0.815 $4.07 $2.32 +132.8%
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on August 5? Down 7 0.560 $4.05 $2.82 +229.4%
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs Zeu5 Esports 5 0.850 $3.91 $1.24 +46.5%