Log in
Trader leaderboard/nikonoemi

nikonoemi

0x977937b97ca27510af27a0fd6b05f557b565c429
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
5W / 9L
Win Return (30d)
36%
5W / 9L
Trades (30d)
14
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.31
avg win $2 · loss $0
Profit Factor
2.02
$4 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
4.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $249 · all-time $102,479

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 35.3% 102W/187L 127 $3,478
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $13
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/8L 4 $38
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/4L 4 $21
🏛 Politics 2 $2
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 600 0.790 $474.30 $174.30 +58.1%
Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 215 0.996 $214.03 $1.68 +0.8%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 600 0.209 $125.70 $-174.30 -58.1%
Will Scott Seiver cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 100 0.984 $98.35 $-1.05 -1.1%
Will Erik Seidel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 100 0.750 $75.04 $-24.06 -24.3%
Will Daniel Negreanu cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 50 0.987 $49.35 $-0.15 -0.3%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? No 26 0.936 $24.32 $-0.58 -2.3%
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026? No 20 0.963 $19.25 $1.25 +6.9%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? No 19 0.925 $17.47 $0.28 +1.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No 20 0.725 $14.50 $-2.70 -15.7%
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q2 Zepbound sales be above $4B? Yes 12 0.966 $11.44 $0.78 +7.3%
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026? No 12 0.943 $11.29 $-0.08 -0.7%
Will Juan Pablo Ledezma be arrested in 2026? No 20 0.525 $10.50 $-6.70 -39.0%
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026? No 20 0.490 $9.80 $-7.60 -43.7%
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? Yes 20 0.455 $9.10 $-3.50 -27.8%
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q2 Mounjaro sales be above $10.5B? No 13 0.551 $7.40 $-4.95 -40.1%
Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass? Yes 7 0.890 $5.93 $-0.07 -1.1%
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 20 0.076 $1.52 $-3.08 -67.0%
Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum not occur by December 31, 2026? Yes 15 0.035 $0.53 $0.35 +195.0%