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Trader leaderboard/nikonoemi

nikonoemi

0x977937b97ca27510af27a0fd6b05f557b565c429
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$8
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
9W / 9L · 27 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
18W / 12L · 15 open
Trades (30d)
45
across 21 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.75
avg win $2 · loss $1
Profit Factor
3.63
$10 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
3.63
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $256 · all-time $102,485

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 36.0% 105W/187L 127 $3,502
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $13
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/8L 4 $38
💵 Economy 16.7% 1W/5L 4 $21
🏛 Politics 2 $2
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 600 0.790 $474.30 $174.30 +58.1%
Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 215 0.996 $214.03 $1.68 +0.8%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 600 0.209 $125.70 $-174.30 -58.1%
Will Scott Seiver cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 100 0.986 $98.55 $-0.85 -0.9%
Will Erik Seidel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 100 0.750 $75.00 $-24.10 -24.3%
Will Daniel Negreanu cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 50 0.989 $49.42 $-0.07 -0.2%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? No 26 0.939 $24.40 $-0.50 -2.0%
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026? No 20 0.963 $19.25 $1.25 +6.9%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? No 19 0.925 $17.47 $0.28 +1.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No 20 0.725 $14.50 $-2.70 -15.7%
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026? No 12 0.951 $11.38 $0.01 +0.1%
Will Juan Pablo Ledezma be arrested in 2026? No 20 0.555 $11.10 $-6.10 -35.5%
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026? No 20 0.500 $10.00 $-7.40 -42.5%
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? Yes 20 0.455 $9.10 $-3.50 -27.8%
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 20 0.076 $1.52 $-3.08 -67.0%
Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum not occur by December 31, 2026? Yes 15 0.036 $0.54 $0.36 +199.9%