Log in
Trader leaderboard/nikonoemi

nikonoemi

0x977937b97ca27510af27a0fd6b05f557b565c429
PnL (30d)
+$57
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$42
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
35%
102W / 187L · 123 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
136W / 245L · 31 open
Trades (30d)
412
across 127 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.68
avg win $3 · loss $1
Profit Factor
2.27
$101 won / $45 lost
Reward / Risk
3.69
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$11
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $229 · all-time $102,459

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 35.3% 102W/187L 127 $3,478
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $51
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/8L 5 $76
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/4L 4 $39
🏛 Politics 2 $2
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 600 0.790 $474.30 $174.30 +58.1%
Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 215 0.996 $214.03 $1.68 +0.8%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 600 0.209 $125.70 $-174.30 -58.1%
Will Scott Seiver cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 100 0.984 $98.35 $-1.05 -1.1%
Will Erik Seidel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 100 0.750 $75.00 $-24.10 -24.3%
Will Daniel Negreanu cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 50 0.987 $49.35 $-0.15 -0.3%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? No 26 0.939 $24.40 $-0.50 -2.0%
Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass? Yes 27 0.885 $23.60 $-0.40 -1.7%
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026? No 20 0.963 $19.25 $1.25 +6.9%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? No 19 0.925 $17.47 $0.28 +1.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No 20 0.725 $14.50 $-2.70 -15.7%
Will Juan Pablo Ledezma be arrested in 2026? No 20 0.600 $12.00 $-5.20 -30.2%
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026? No 12 0.952 $11.39 $0.02 +0.2%
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026? No 20 0.480 $9.60 $-7.80 -44.8%
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? Yes 20 0.390 $7.80 $-4.80 -38.1%
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q2 Mounjaro sales be above $10.5B? No 13 0.520 $6.98 $-5.37 -43.5%
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q2 Zepbound sales be above $4B? Yes 12 0.525 $6.22 $-4.44 -41.7%
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 20 0.076 $1.52 $-3.08 -67.0%
Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum not occur by December 31, 2026? Yes 15 0.037 $0.55 $0.37 +208.2%