PnL (30d)

−$1

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$11

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

2W / 4L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

15%

2W / 11L

Trades (30d)

13

across 7 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.40

avg win $0 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.14

$0 won / $1 lost

Reward / Risk

0.29

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	35.3% 102W/187L	127	$3,478
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/2L	4	$13
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/8L	4	$38
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/4L	4	$21
🏛 Politics	—	2	$2
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/3L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	600	0.790	$474.30	$174.30	+58.1%
Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	No	215	0.996	$214.03	$1.68	+0.8%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	600	0.209	$125.70	$-174.30	-58.1%
Will Scott Seiver cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	No	100	0.984	$98.35	$-1.05	-1.1%
Will Erik Seidel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	No	100	0.750	$75.04	$-24.06	-24.3%
Will Daniel Negreanu cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	No	50	0.987	$49.35	$-0.15	-0.3%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?	No	26	0.926	$24.06	$-0.84	-3.4%
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?	No	20	0.963	$19.25	$1.25	+6.9%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	No	19	0.925	$17.47	$0.28	+1.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	No	20	0.725	$14.50	$-2.70	-15.7%
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q2 Zepbound sales be above $4B?	Yes	12	0.966	$11.44	$0.78	+7.3%
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?	No	12	0.944	$11.30	$-0.07	-0.6%
Will Juan Pablo Ledezma be arrested in 2026?	No	20	0.515	$10.30	$-6.90	-40.1%
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?	No	20	0.480	$9.60	$-7.80	-44.8%
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	20	0.450	$9.00	$-3.60	-28.6%
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q2 Mounjaro sales be above $10.5B?	No	13	0.551	$7.40	$-4.95	-40.1%
Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?	Yes	7	0.890	$5.93	$-0.07	-1.1%
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	Yes	20	0.076	$1.52	$-3.08	-67.0%
Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum not occur by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15	0.035	$0.53	$0.35	+195.0%