Arman2
0x9453a389c73df7991249d9f2c6e2c854157b1a48
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,674
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-40.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
29%
4W / 10L
Win Return (30d)
29%
4W / 10L
Trades (30d)
14
across 5 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$334.81
avg win $78 · loss $610
Profit Factor
0.09
$156 won / $1,830 lost
Reward / Risk
0.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $132,903 · all-time $2,566,330
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
19,500 |
0.465 |
$9,057.83 |
$2,510.26 |
+38.3% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
4,363 |
0.951 |
$4,147.04 |
$199.70 |
+5.1% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
Yes |
2,767 |
0.635 |
$1,757.04 |
$585.78 |
+50.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
1,590 |
0.295 |
$469.14 |
$30.75 |
+7.0% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
362 |
0.950 |
$343.26 |
$-6.74 |
-1.9% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? |
No |
342 |
0.920 |
$314.81 |
$83.81 |
+36.3% |
| Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? |
No |
39 |
0.961 |
$37.75 |
$26.75 |
+243.2% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
No |
227 |
0.115 |
$26.07 |
$-73.93 |
-73.9% |