Arman2
0x9453a389c73df7991249d9f2c6e2c854157b1a48
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$334
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+24.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
15W / 5L
Win Return (30d)
75%
15W / 5L
Trades (30d)
20
across 7 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$47.69
avg win $85 · loss $45
Profit Factor
4.73
$423 won / $89 lost
Reward / Risk
1.89
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $132,903 · all-time $2,566,330
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
19,500 |
0.460 |
$8,970.08 |
$2,422.51 |
+37.0% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
4,363 |
1.000 |
$4,360.83 |
$413.49 |
+10.5% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
Yes |
2,767 |
0.665 |
$1,840.05 |
$668.79 |
+57.1% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
362 |
1.000 |
$361.34 |
$11.34 |
+3.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
1,590 |
0.205 |
$326.01 |
$-112.38 |
-25.6% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? |
No |
342 |
0.925 |
$316.52 |
$85.52 |
+37.0% |
| Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? |
No |
39 |
0.988 |
$38.81 |
$27.81 |
+252.9% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
No |
227 |
0.095 |
$21.53 |
$-78.47 |
-78.5% |