Arman2
0x9453a389c73df7991249d9f2c6e2c854157b1a48
PnL (30d)
+$8,890
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4,405
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
70%
514W / 223L · 235 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
709W / 263L
Trades (30d)
972
across 95 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
+$111.12
avg win $293 · loss $266
Profit Factor
2.29
$15,802 won / $6,912 lost
Reward / Risk
1.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,729
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $132,903 · all-time $2,566,330
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
19,500 |
0.474 |
$9,243.09 |
$2,695.51 |
+41.2% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
4,363 |
0.953 |
$4,157.95 |
$210.61 |
+5.3% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
Yes |
2,767 |
0.650 |
$1,798.55 |
$627.29 |
+53.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
1,590 |
0.290 |
$461.19 |
$22.80 |
+5.2% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
362 |
0.958 |
$346.15 |
$-3.84 |
-1.1% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? |
No |
342 |
0.895 |
$306.26 |
$75.26 |
+32.6% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
No |
227 |
0.190 |
$43.07 |
$-56.93 |
-56.9% |
| Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? |
No |
39 |
0.961 |
$37.75 |
$26.75 |
+243.2% |