BalancedFury
0x8e83a67f888f29ca710884beeaf057abc255bdd4
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$939
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-10.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
83W / 31L
Win Return (30d)
73%
83W / 31L
Trades (30d)
114
across 27 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$34.79
avg win $18 · loss $220
Profit Factor
0.29
$381 won / $1,320 lost
Reward / Risk
0.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,029 · all-time $202,964
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
466 |
0.991 |
$462.03 |
$-3.26 |
-0.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
450 |
0.615 |
$276.75 |
$26.75 |
+10.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.935 |
$56.10 |
$3.30 |
+6.2% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.945 |
$1.35 |
$0.35 |
+35.0% |