BalancedFury
0x8e83a67f888f29ca710884beeaf057abc255bdd4
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$3
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$31
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
1W / 0L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
5W / 0L
Trades (30d)
5
across 2 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$3.40
avg win $3
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,029 · all-time $202,964
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
835 |
1.000 |
$834.21 |
$19.69 |
+2.4% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
466 |
0.996 |
$464.13 |
$-1.17 |
-0.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
450 |
0.625 |
$281.25 |
$31.25 |
+12.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.935 |
$56.10 |
$3.30 |
+6.2% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.945 |
$1.35 |
$0.35 |
+35.0% |