PnL (30d)

−$1,266

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$40

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-7.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

79%

143W / 39L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

79%

151W / 40L

Trades (30d)

191

across 44 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$30.88

avg win $17 · loss $201

Profit Factor

0.30

$541 won / $1,807 lost

Reward / Risk

0.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	78.6% 143W/39L	44	$18,623
🏛 Politics	100.0% 7W/0L	5	$3,140
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$1,181
⚽ Sports	100.0% 6W/0L	2	$497

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	835	0.994	$829.62	$15.10	+1.9%
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	466	0.997	$464.83	$-0.47	-0.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	450	0.625	$281.25	$31.25	+12.5%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	60	0.935	$56.10	$3.30	+6.2%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	1	0.945	$1.35	$0.35	+35.0%